Betting Football Odds
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Whether you are looking for the latest betting spreads or an in depth analysis on the big game, log on daily throughout the season for all of that information and much more.
Latest News
Yankees favored in wraparound game in Cleveland
2009-06-01
The New York Yankees go for the series win in game number four against Cleveland, trying to maintain lead over Boston for first place in the American League East. New York came back from a four run deficit Sunday, thanks to Mark Teixeira’s four runs batted in. Teixeira now has a 13-game hitting streak, off a bad start and is hitting .400 (22 for 55) with eight homers and 20 RBIs during his streak. Review the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages for baseball on Monday.
However, a lead off walk by reliever Phil Coke ended up setting the table for Cleveland’s Jhonny Peralta, who drove in the winning run with his third hit of the day giving the Indians a 5-4 walk-off win.
The Yankees (29-21, -0.5 units) will turn to Joba Chamberlain (2-1, 3.97 ERA) looking for the series win, after winning first two contests. The young right-hander had another shaky start in his last outing Tuesday at Texas, allowing three runs over four innings with four walks.
Chamberlain has ERA of 10.00 in the first inning this season in his nine starts. “Plain and simple, I was terrible,” he said. “I’ve got to do a better job of keeping the team in the game.”
New York has won the last six times they have played in Game 4 of a series and they have captured 14 of last 18 tilts during this run. With Chamberlain on the mound, the Yanks are 8-2 against teams with losing records and 13-4 when favored.
Cleveland (22-30, -8.8) will counter Jeremy Sowers (1-2, 7.71) who returns to the starting rotation. Sowers was dreadful with 0-2 record and 12.00 ERA, in two spot starts in May. He redeemed himself in part last Monday, tossing five scoreless innings in relief, in unfathomable 11-10 win against Tampa Bay. That was the left-hander’s first career stint out of the bullpen. Sowers and the Tribe are 1-6 when he starts the game versus a team with winning record.
The early line from Sportsbook.com has New York as -160 money line favorites with the total Un10. The Bronx Bombers are 7-1 against lefty starters, with matching record on the road if total is between 9 and 10.5 runs. Cleveland, despite their troubles this campaign, is 10-4 as home underdogs, though 6-15 in that role if Sowers is pitcher.
The Yankees are 7-3-1 OVER when Chamberlain toes the rubber and the Indians are 20-7 OVER as underdogs. It should be noted, nine of last dozen at Progressive Field between these teams have gone UNDER.
This is ESPN contest, which starts at 7:05 Eastern and if you follow baseball on the days of the week, New York is 5-13 in last 18 Monday affairs and the Tribe are 11-4 on the first day of the work week.
NFL: Betting the NFL Draft (4:00 PM ET, ESPN)
2009-04-26
For professional football fans, weeks and months of speculation come to a head on Saturday. The first pick of the NFL draft is set for 4 PM ET, and from there folks can start truly getting ready for the next football season. Of course, the draft isn’t just about picking players. The recent development of
betting opportunities available for certain players and/or picks has added to the intrigue. Read on as we review some of the options available at Sportsbook.com, offering some insight and opinions.
For fans of specific teams, you hope the general manager can fill the needs of your team and they can start improving right from day one. For many, this is the best kind of reality TV, as just when you believe will occur and the people paid to tell you what is going to happen, well faster than you can say “Brady Quinn” something out of the blue changes that would even throw off Heidi Montag. With this annual event going more prime time, the sports bettor can place wagers on a variety of options at various sportsbooks and have a little fun while sippin’ a few cold ones with friends.
The draft itself will hinge on two things that will happen early. At the moment, Detroit is trying to get deal done with Mathew Stafford. If for some reason that doesn’t work out, don’t be surprised if
Lions take tackle Jason Smith and trade for quarterback Derrick Alexander of Cleveland setting of an unforeseen chain of events.
If the first three picks go as planned with Stafford, Smith and Aaron Curry, Seattle controls the board and whom they choose will have trickle affect on the next 15 to 20 picks. Please note, all plays are based on normal events, trades and other outside factors are beyond my control. All listed action is courtesy of Sportsbook.com.
Number of Quarterbacks taken in Round One
Over 2.5 (-350) - Under 2.5 (+225)
The safest play is Over with Stafford and Mark Sanchez a given, however I’m hearing rumblings Josh Freeman might be in free fall and have Aaron Rodgers and Quinn moment, possibly all the way to second round. Still hard to fathom he would fall that far in a draft not loaded with extraordinary talent early.
Number of Running Backs taken in Round One
Over 2.5 (+120) - Under 2.5 ( -160)
Knowshon Moreno and Chris Wells will be taken. The wild card is Donald Brown out of Connecticut. A number of the draft experts have his going to Arizona, but a
Cardinals insider suggested to me defensive tackle or tight end is more important and they will look at finding this year’s Steve Slaton in round two. That’s enough to make me play Under.
Number of Wide Receivers and Tight Ends taken in Round One
Over 6 (-170) - Under 6 (+130)
This is a really tough call, since six seems to be the right number with Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, Brandon Pettigrew, and Darrius Heyward-Bey all certain and Hakeem Nicks, Kenny Britt and Percy Harvin all liked by different
teams on the back end of first round. I could put on chicken suit and pass, but I’ll say the latter three are all playmakers and this prop goes Over.
Number of Offensive Linemen taken in Round One
Over 6.5 (-105) – Under 6.5 (-135)
Playing the Under here and feel strongly this one is accurate. Jason Smith, Eugene Monroe, Michael Oher, Andre Smith and Eben Britton are locks. A few reports have William Beatty well liked by Minnesota and Pittsburgh might draft a center to cause a defeat, however don’t see it happening and going with original feelings.
What will Michael Crabtree’s Draft Position be?
Over 7.5 (+200) – Under 7.5 (-300)
Crabtree is arguably the most NFL ready player and the last spot he should fall to is Oakland at seven. Play Under.
What will Andre Smith’s Draft Position be?
Over 6.5 (Even) – Under 6.5 (-130)
In December this was an easy answer and the Under would have -130 at 5.5. But because of several gaffes by Smith and other quality tackles available with less baggage, Smith has become Over play, with Washington a likely destination.
What will Mark Sanchez’s Draft Position be?
Over 10.5 (+160) – Under 10.5 (-220)
I’d wait until Saturday morning on this prop. If Stafford goes to Detroit, probably safe Seattle takes Sanchez. If those events don’t take place, watch out. Seattle could still pass on the USC signal caller even if Stafford is chosen by Lions; however this is supposed to be quarterback-driven league right?
What will Jeremy Maclin’s Draft Position be?
Over 7.5 (-140) – Under 7.5 (even)
This has to be Over, unless Al Davis is more goofy than believed. Only way this loses is if Cleveland makes late deal and moves Braylon Edwards.
What will Knowshon Moreno’s Draft Position be?
Over 21.5 (+110) – Under 21.5 (-150)
Hard to believe New Orleans, San Diego and Philadelphia would pass on the best running back coming out of college. Play Under.
What will Chris Well’s Draft Position be?
Over 15.5 (-170) – Under 15.5 (+130)
New Orleans and San Diego are the presumed destinations and if I were GM, I’d pass, because I see this guy out of the league in four years with one injury after another. Trying to wager with my head and not my heart, the
Saints need a big back to compliment Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas. Play Under.
What will BJ Raji’s Draft Position be?
Over 7.5 (+200) – Under 7.5 (-300)
Cleveland needs help in defensive line and Raji is perfect fit at fifth slot.
Which Player Will Get Drafted 1st?
Knowshon Moreno (Georgia) +150
Chris Wells (Ohio State) -200
Checked in with friend Marc Lawrence of Playbook.com for this prop and he offered his opinion. “I see Knowshon Moreno going ahead of Chris Wells. Moreno is quicker and more competitive than Wells, who has been sidelined too often with injuries. Moreno should go in the middle of the 1st round whereas Wells will likely be nabbed late in the round. In fact, don't be surprised if Donald Brown or LeSean McCoy goes ahead of Wells.”
Which Player Will Get Drafted 1st ?
James Laurinaitis (Ohio State) +175
Clay Matthews (USC) -250
At the beginning of the year, this might have been even bet, not anymore. Unless Detroit takes Laurinaitis at 20, a few draftniks I spoke to are no longer even sure if the Ohio State linebacker will be chosen in first round. Play Mathews.
Total SEC Players Drafted in the 1st Round
Over 7.5 (+160) – Under 7.5 (-200)
In studying the draft from several different angles, just can’t come up with the eight player to make this an Over play.
Total ACC Players Drafted in the 1st Round
Over 5 (-170) – Under 5 (+130)
The swing player seems to be Nicks from North Carolina and I believe he is picked, probably by the Giants, making this Over play.
Total Big 12 Players Drafted in the 1st Round
Over 5.5 (-135) – Under 5.5 (-105)
I have six players even if Freeman would happen to fall out of the first round. Defensive tackle Evander Hood out of Missouri looks ticketed for Indianapolis more and more. Make the move on Over.
Total Pac 10 Players Drafted in the 1st Round
Over 5.5 (-135) – Under 5.5 (-105)
Have to play Under, with the four from USC and Britton from Arizona. Centers Max Unger or Alex Mack could blow up my bet late, but I don’t believe so.
Total Big Ten Players Drafted in the 1st Round
Over 4.5 (-120) – Under 4.5 (-120)
This is easily the hardest of the conferences, with only three virtually guaranteed spots. Laurinaitis is likely and Vontae Davis has first round ability with questionable maturity. Receiver Brian Robiske could be surprise with his stock rising with particular teams. A hesitant Over play.
Patrick White (West Virginia) - Will he be Drafted on Day 1 of the Draft (Rounds 1 and 2)
Yes (-150) – No (+110)
Though many NFL
teams are enamored with White’s athletic ability, his stock has fallen as first day choice from -200 to -150 in just days. With this negative trend,
betting No.
NFL Playoff Statistical Analysis
2009-01-15
Here is a list of NFL playoff trends that have proven successful to follow or fade in recent years. All of these angles reflect the teams’ current statistics, including the playoff games of ’09. The records for the ’09 playoffs of each angle are also given along with the qualifying
teams for this week’s games.
Keep in mind that these are purely raw stat based angles and don’t take into account any other
betting scenarios, such as line range, situational factors, or experience. Using various stats, here are 18 different playoff
betting trends that have produced either better than 55% or worse than 45% results.
Scoring
• Home
teams scoring 26.0 PPG or more are just 14-21
ATS (40%)
Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
• Home
teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 22-17
ATS (56.4%)
Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh
• Road
teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 19-11
ATS (63.3%)
Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Home
teams outscoring their opponents by less than 5.0 PPG on the season are 8-14
ATS (36.4%)
Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
Rushing Stats
• Teams that run for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 25-19
ATS (56.8%)
Record in ’09: 1-3 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Home
teams that average 106 RYPG or less are 15-5
ATS (75.0%)
Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona, Pittsburgh
• Road
teams that average 136 RYPG or more are 13-10
ATS (56.5%)
Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Teams that allow fewer rushing yards per attempt on the season are 52-38
ATS (57.8%).
Record in ’09: 7-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh, Philadelphia
• Road
teams that allow 3.90 YPR or fewer are 27-11
ATS (71.1%)
Record in ’09: 3-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
• Road
teams that allow fewer than 100.0 RYPG are 25-14
ATS (64.1%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
Passing Stats
• Teams that pass for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 20-15
ATS (57.1%)
Record in ’09: 2-3 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
• Home
teams that gain more than 7.40 yards per pass attempt or more on the season are just 9-17
ATS (34.6%)
Record in ’09: 2-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
• Teams that pass for more yards per game on the season and are an underdog are 22-16
ATS (57.9%)
Record in ’09: 3-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
• Home
teams that allow 192.0 PYPG or fewer are 11-16
ATS (40.7%)
Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
Yards Per Play Stats
• Road
teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 17-5
ATS (77.2%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
• Home
teams outgaining their opponents by 1.00 or more yards per play are just 2-9
ATS (18.2%)
Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
• Road
teams outgaining their opponents by 0.25 or more yards per play on the season are 15-7
ATS (68.2%)
Record in ’09: 5-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
Turnover Stats
• Road
teams that enjoyed a turnover differential of more than +1.00 per game on the season are 8-2
ATS (80%)
Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore